November 2, 2019
A fantastic days racing, nine G 1 races to look forward to.
Let’s look at this year’s Breeders’ Cup through the prism of the Horse Pattern Racing World Championships, every G1 race run this year is allocated 22 pts for these championships, 10 for a win, 7 for a second, 5 for third, the points scored by each horse, in each race, are accumulated and presented in a championship format.
This should help us identify the chances of the leading protagonists today.
Magical who didn’t make the trip is the current leader on 51 pts.
6.55 Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint
Come Dancing, 17pts, 2nd in the Ogden Phipps, 1st in the Ballerina Stakes.
This puts her ahead of the opposition.
Covfefe, 10pts, winner of the Test Stakes.
Spiced Perfection, 10pts, winner of the Madison Stakes.
Recommendation: Come Dancing 9/4 win
7.33 Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint
Stormy Liberal gets the vote, the only G1 placed this year when 3rd at Meydan in the Al Quoz Sprint.
Recommendation: Stormy Liberal 11/1 ew
8.10 Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile
There’s only one stand out Grade 1 performer here.
Omaha Beach, 20pts, has a pair of Grade 1’s to his name, the Arkansas Derby and Santa Anita Sprint Championship, this should see him prevail.
Recommendation: Omaha Beach 11/8 win
8.54 Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf
A first opportunity for the Europeans on the night.
Sistercharlie, 30pts, won three Grade 1′ s, the Diana Stakes, Beverley D Stakes and Flower Bowl Stakes, that should see her have the edge.
Iridessa, 25pts, winner of the Pretty Polly Stakes, Matron Stakes and last time out 3rd in the Sun Chariot Stakes, has a great each-way chance.
Fleeting, 19 pts, 3rd in the Oaks, 2nd in the Irish Oaks, 2nd in the Prix de l’Opera, has been an unlucky loser all year.
Just Wonderful, 2nd in the Belmont Oaks, 3rd in the Matron Stakes.
Recommendation: Sistercharlie 11/10 win, Iridessa 6/1 ew
9.36 Breeders’ Cup Sprint
This could be a match between Mitole against Imperial Hint.
Mitole, 35 pts, won the Churchill Downs Stakes, the Metropolitan Handicap, ran 3rd in Alfred G Vanderbilt Handicap, returning to winning ways in the Forego Stakes.
Imperial Hint, 25 pts, was 3rd in the Golden Shaheen, then won the Alfred G Vanderbilt Handicap and Vosburgh Stakes.
Recommendation: Mitole 5/2 win
10.20 Breeders’ Cup Mile
Possibly the best opportunity for a European win today.
Circus Maximus, 27pts, winner of the St James’s Palace Stakes, 2nd in the Sussex and back on top in Prix du the Moulin.
Got Stormy, 22 pts, 3rd in the Jenny Wiley, 1st in the Fourstardave, 2nd in the Woodbine Mile.
Recommendation: Circus Maximus 4/1 win
11.00 Breeders’ Cup Distaff
This introduces a class act.
Midnight Bisou, 40 pts, sits joint second in the championships, winner of four Grade 1’s this year, the Apple Blossom, Ogden Phipps, Personal Ensign and Beldame Stakes, she’ll surely have too much for the others.
Dunbarr Road, 15pts, winner of the Alabama Stakes, 3rd in the Spinster Stakes.
Blue Prize, 15 pts, the Spinster winner, 3rd before that in the La Troienne.
Recommendation: Midnight Bisou 11/8 win
11.40 Breeders’ Cup Turf
Another class act, also joint second in the championships.
Bricks and Mortar, 40 pts, four G1’s this season for the Chad Brown inmate, the Pegasus Turf, Woodford Reserve, Manhattan Stakes and Arlington Million, all won in comfortable style.
Old Persian, 25 pts, won the Dubai Shema Classic for Godolphin, ran 3rd in the Deutschland Preis, got back in the winner’s circle in the Northern Dancer Stakes.
Anthony Van Dyck, 22 pts, the Epsom Derby winner, beaten into second at Curragh in the Irish equivalent, ran 3rd when prepped for this in the Irish Champion Stakes.
A pair on 17 pts, Channel Maker won the Man o’ War from Arklow, in the Joe Hirsch, Arklow reversed the placings.
Recommendation: Bricks and Mortar 7/4 win
12.44 Breeders’ Cup Classic
In the big one, Code Of Honour and McKinzie take each other on.
Code Of Honour, 32 pts, 3rd in the Florida Derby, 2nd in the Kentucky Derby, winner of the Travers and Jockey Club Gold Cup since.
McKinzie, 31 pts, 2nd in the Santa Anita Handicap, 2nd in the Metropolitan, winner of the Whitney, 2nd in the Awesome Again.
They’ll have too much for the others.
Vino Rosso, 22 pts, winner of the Gold Cup At Santa Anita, third in the Whitney, 2nd in the Jockey Cup Gold Cup.
Elate, 19 pts, 3rd in the Apple Blossom, 2nd in the Personal Ensign, 2nd in the Spinster Stakes.
War Of Will, 15 pts, winner of the Preakness Stakes, 3rd in the Pennsylvania Derby.
Yoshida, 12 pts, 2nd in the Whitney, 3rd in Woodward.
Recommendation: McKinzie 4/1 win
